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🇮🇳July 2, 2026

Rupee hits sharpest fall since June 8, weakens to 95.24 per dollar

The Indian rupee weakened significantly to cross the 95 per dollar mark for the first time in nearly a month, marking its sharpest decline since early June amid expectations of hawkish US Federal Reserve commentary. The Reserve Bank of India intervened to contain further losses, with traders anticipating a new trading range for the currency.

The Indian rupee experienced notable weakness, declining to 95.24 against the US dollar in recent trading. According to reports, this marks the first time the rupee has breached the 95 per dollar level in approximately a month, representing its sharpest fall since June 8. The currency's deterioration came ahead of anticipated hawkish remarks from the US Federal Reserve chair, which typically strengthens the dollar and pressures emerging market currencies like the rupee.

The Reserve Bank of India took intervention measures to limit the extent of further depreciation, though the central bank's actions were insufficient to prevent the significant daily decline. Market participants indicated that they expect the rupee to establish a new trading range in the coming days, suggesting traders are preparing for a period of adjusted currency valuations.

The rupee's weakness reflects broader pressures on emerging market currencies stemming from expectations of sustained US monetary tightening. When the Federal Reserve signals hawkish policy stances, it typically strengthens the dollar as investors seek higher returns on US-denominated assets, causing capital outflows from emerging markets. This dynamic particularly impacts currencies of countries dependent on foreign investment flows. The RBI's intervention reflects official efforts to maintain currency stability and prevent excessive volatility that could disrupt domestic economic activity and inflation management. The anticipated trading range adjustment suggests market participants are repositioning for a potentially different rupee valuation equilibrium going forward.

Source: Markets-Economic Times

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